Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003746 0.003928 0.004115 0.004320 0.004539 0.004768 0.005024
2025-11-02 0.003410 0.003678 0.003963 0.004290 0.004656 0.005055 0.005524
2025-11-09 0.003259 0.003584 0.003939 0.004359 0.004845 0.005394 0.006064
2025-11-16 0.003085 0.003443 0.003843 0.004326 0.004900 0.005565 0.006404
2025-11-23 0.002958 0.003342 0.003780 0.004320 0.004975 0.005753 0.006762
2025-11-30 0.002819 0.003219 0.003681 0.004260 0.004976 0.005845 0.006997
2025-12-07 0.002703 0.003115 0.003597 0.004211 0.004983 0.005938 0.007233
2025-12-14 0.002621 0.003047 0.003552 0.004204 0.005038 0.006089 0.007547
2025-12-21 0.002492 0.002916 0.003423 0.004086 0.004944 0.006042 0.007591
2025-12-28 0.002435 0.002871 0.003398 0.004096 0.005014 0.006208 0.007929
2026-01-04 0.002398 0.002848 0.003399 0.004138 0.005125 0.006431 0.008355
2026-01-11 0.002331 0.002785 0.003347 0.004108 0.005137 0.006519 0.008593
2026-01-18 0.002271 0.002730 0.003304 0.004088 0.005162 0.006628 0.008868
2026-01-25 0.002211 0.002674 0.003256 0.004060 0.005175 0.006718 0.009120
2026-02-01 0.002193 0.002670 0.003276 0.004124 0.005317 0.006998 0.009673
2026-02-08 0.002138 0.002617 0.003229 0.004094 0.005324 0.007080 0.009923
2026-02-15 0.002096 0.002579 0.003201 0.004088 0.005364 0.007211 0.010258
2026-02-22 0.002038 0.002517 0.003139 0.004033 0.005329 0.007229 0.010408
2026-03-01 0.001986 0.002463 0.003086 0.003987 0.005307 0.007263 0.010586
2026-03-08 0.001951 0.002430 0.003061 0.003981 0.005342 0.007384 0.010915
2026-03-15 0.001881 0.002348 0.002966 0.003871 0.005218 0.007255 0.010808
2026-03-22 0.001855 0.002327 0.002954 0.003881 0.005275 0.007409 0.011199
2026-03-29 0.001841 0.002321 0.002963 0.003920 0.005376 0.007639 0.011738